FROM REGIONAL WAR TO GLOBAL CHAOS; THE FINAL SCENARIOS OF THE WAR
The military crisis that began on February 28, 2026, with the US-led “Operation Epic Fury” and Israel’s “Operation Roaring Lion,” transcends a limited conflict, representing the culmination of 47 years of confrontation between the Islamic Republic and the Western bloc. This war is a direct product of the failure of diplomatic efforts in 2025; the Muscat and Rome negotiations demonstrated that the gap between Washington’s insistence on the complete dismantlement of uranium enrichment and Tehran’s demand for the lifting of sanctions was unbridgeable. Developments on the ground indicate that the widespread protests in Iran during December 2025 and January 2026 transformed the White House’s calculations from an “arms control operation” into a “political engineering project”; as Trump, observing the depth of discontent, concluded that the regime was in its most precarious historical state.
